Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-03-07 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $1,973,230$ on 2020-06-09
Best fit exponential: \(2.23 \times 10^{5} \times 10^{0.011t}\) (doubling rate \(28.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,947,766.4}{1 + 10^{-0.031 (t - 52.6)}}\) (asimptote \(1,947,766.4\))
Start date 2020-03-11 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $111,694$ on 2020-06-09
Best fit exponential: \(1.37 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.011t}\) (doubling rate \(27.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{109,284.6}{1 + 10^{-0.037 (t - 47.8)}}\) (asimptote \(109,284.6\))
Start date 2020-03-07 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $1,336,681$ on 2020-06-09
Start date 2020-03-06 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $98,241$ on 2020-06-09
Best fit exponential: \(1.08 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.011t}\) (doubling rate \(27.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{98,244.5}{1 + 10^{-0.034 (t - 53.3)}}\) (asimptote \(98,244.5\))
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $7,970$ on 2020-06-09
Best fit exponential: \(703 \times 10^{0.013t}\) (doubling rate \(22.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{7,930.3}{1 + 10^{-0.040 (t - 50.4)}}\) (asimptote \(7,930.3\))
Start date 2020-03-06 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $34,154$ on 2020-06-09
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $124,301$ on 2020-06-09
Best fit exponential: \(2.8 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.020t}\) (doubling rate \(14.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{200,865.1}{1 + 10^{-0.030 (t - 76.5)}}\) (asimptote \(200,865.1\))
Start date 2020-03-28 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $14,649$ on 2020-06-09
Best fit exponential: \(362 \times 10^{0.022t}\) (doubling rate \(13.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{26,398.3}{1 + 10^{-0.031 (t - 71.1)}}\) (asimptote \(26,398.3\))
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $18,904$ on 2020-06-09
Start date 2020-03-11 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $17,233$ on 2020-06-09
Best fit exponential: \(1.22 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.013t}\) (doubling rate \(23.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{22,185.3}{1 + 10^{-0.021 (t - 72.1)}}\) (asimptote \(22,185.3\))
Start date 2020-03-11 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $403$ on 2020-06-09
Best fit exponential: \(38.3 \times 10^{0.012t}\) (doubling rate \(25.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{398.9}{1 + 10^{-0.029 (t - 54.5)}}\) (asimptote \(398.9\))
Start date 2020-03-11 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $6,269$ on 2020-06-09
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $20,415$ on 2020-06-09
Best fit exponential: \(1.46 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.014t}\) (doubling rate \(22.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{24,065.2}{1 + 10^{-0.026 (t - 63.4)}}\) (asimptote \(24,065.2\))
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $544$ on 2020-06-09
Best fit exponential: \(96.5 \times 10^{0.010t}\) (doubling rate \(30.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{527.6}{1 + 10^{-0.034 (t - 38.2)}}\) (asimptote \(527.6\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $7,663$ on 2020-06-09
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $6,935$ on 2020-06-09
Best fit exponential: \(153 \times 10^{0.020t}\) (doubling rate \(14.8\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{9,944.4}{1 + 10^{-0.032 (t - 73.0)}}\) (asimptote \(9,944.4\))
Start date 2020-03-26 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $271$ on 2020-06-09
Best fit exponential: \(20 \times 10^{0.015t}\) (doubling rate \(19.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{389.3}{1 + 10^{-0.025 (t - 63.0)}}\) (asimptote \(389.3\))
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $5,877$ on 2020-06-09
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $7,866$ on 2020-06-09
Best fit exponential: \(56 \times 10^{0.027t}\) (doubling rate \(11.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{14,301.2}{1 + 10^{-0.038 (t - 78.0)}}\) (asimptote \(14,301.2\))
Start date 2020-04-04 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $289$ on 2020-06-09
Best fit exponential: \(0.393 \times 10^{0.043t}\) (doubling rate \(7.0\) days)
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $6,164$ on 2020-06-09
Start date 2020-03-25 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $3,191$ on 2020-06-09
Best fit exponential: \(94.8 \times 10^{0.020t}\) (doubling rate \(14.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{4,150.4}{1 + 10^{-0.036 (t - 63.2)}}\) (asimptote \(4,150.4\))
Start date 2020-03-31 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $60$ on 2020-06-09
Best fit exponential: \(3.42 \times 10^{0.018t}\) (doubling rate \(16.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{99.2}{1 + 10^{-0.026 (t - 65.0)}}\) (asimptote \(99.2\))
Start date 2020-03-25 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $1,712$ on 2020-06-09
